Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.3% vs Zacha 54.4% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 71.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 81.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 55.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Bjugstad
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Bjugstad
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Bjugstad
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (906)
53.9% (787)
-3.2%
Power Play
48.1% (108)
63.2% (193)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (239)
44.3% (88)
+0.1%
On power play, Zacha has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Bjugstad shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Zacha
Home
49.8% (643)
56.7% (538)
Away
48.7% (610)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Bjugstad
Zacha
P1
49.4%
52.6%
P2
50.5%
54.8%
P3
47.9%
56.8%
OT
50.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
48.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 03:58 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |