Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.9% vs Krebs 45.1% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 60.1%
Defensive zone
Krebs 53.6%
Neutral zone
Krebs 58.3%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Bjugstad
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Bjugstad
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Bjugstad
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (212)
43.6% (346)
+7.3%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
25.0% (4)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (34)
53.8% (13)
-9.7%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Bjugstad shoots right. Krebs is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Krebs
Home
52.3% (151)
45.3% (172)
Away
46.0% (100)
42.4% (191)
By Period
Bjugstad
Krebs
P1
44.9%
45.5%
P2
56.8%
43.6%
P3
48.3%
42.5%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.8%
Krebs
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |