Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.1% vs Krebs 45.5% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 60.1%
Defensive zone
Krebs 51.1%
Neutral zone
Krebs 52.5%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Bjugstad
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Bjugstad
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Bjugstad
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (280)
44.6% (388)
+4.3%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
25.0% (4)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
45.0% (20)
+2.2%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Bjugstad shoots right. Krebs is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Krebs
Home
48.4% (190)
46.8% (188)
Away
49.2% (132)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Bjugstad
Krebs
P1
41.7%
47.2%
P2
56.6%
44.9%
P3
48.7%
41.1%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |