Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Krebs on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.3% vs Krebs 46.8% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 63.5%
Defensive zone
Krebs 55.1%
Neutral zone
Krebs 60.6%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Bjugstad
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Bjugstad
Krebs
Last 7: Bjugstad 2-5 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
2
Bjugstad
Krebs
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
3
Bjugstad
Krebs
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (906)
47.2% (542)
+3.5%
Power Play
48.1% (108)
54.2% (24)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (239)
31.3% (48)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Bjugstad shoots right. Krebs is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Krebs
Home
49.8% (643)
45.5% (312)
Away
48.7% (610)
47.0% (302)
By Period
Bjugstad
Krebs
P1
49.4%
46.6%
P2
50.5%
42.7%
P3
47.9%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 10:43 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 03:38 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |