Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.0% vs Krebs 45.9% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 51.4%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 69.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 55.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Bjugstad
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Bjugstad
Krebs
Last 5: Bjugstad 3-2 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bjugstad
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
1
Bjugstad
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (867)
45.5% (501)
+3.9%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
50.0% (20)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (216)
37.1% (35)
+3.6%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Bjugstad shoots right. Krebs is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Krebs
Home
46.5% (480)
43.9% (285)
Away
48.9% (628)
46.5% (271)
By Period
Bjugstad
Krebs
P1
48.7%
45.4%
P2
45.6%
50.9%
P3
49.1%
39.7%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 16:53 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |