Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.3% vs Hartman 47.3% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 65.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 57.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 52.1%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Bjugstad
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Bjugstad
Hartman
Last 10: Bjugstad 5-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
2
Bjugstad
Hartman
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
1
Bjugstad
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
3
Bjugstad
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (906)
47.1% (649)
+3.6%
Power Play
48.1% (108)
47.1% (68)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (239)
45.2% (73)
-0.8%
On even strength, Bjugstad has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Bjugstad is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Bjugstad shoots right. Hartman is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Hartman
Home
49.8% (643)
46.5% (361)
Away
48.7% (610)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Bjugstad
Hartman
P1
49.4%
45.1%
P2
50.5%
44.4%
P3
47.9%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.2%
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 10:08 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:10 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:20 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |