Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 47.8%). Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bjugstad wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 47.9% vs Hartman 48.1% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 64.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 55.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Bjugstad
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Bjugstad
Hartman
Last 6: Bjugstad 2-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Bjugstad
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Bjugstad
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
1
Bjugstad
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (398)
48.1% (520)
-1.4%
Power Play
51.6% (31)
44.7% (47)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
47.8% (23)
+14.7%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Bjugstad is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Bjugstad shoots right. Hartman is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Hartman
Home
47.3% (220)
48.3% (360)
Away
47.5% (217)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Bjugstad
Hartman
P1
46.1%
48.5%
P2
46.3%
45.2%
P3
50.4%
49.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 15:01 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 16:23 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |