Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.1% vs Hartman 45.5% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 64.4%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 53.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.9%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Bjugstad
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Bjugstad
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bjugstad
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (280)
44.8% (830)
+4.1%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
47.8% (92)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
37.5% (16)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Bjugstad shoots right. Hartman is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Hartman
Home
48.4% (190)
45.0% (515)
Away
49.2% (132)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Bjugstad
Hartman
P1
41.7%
46.5%
P2
56.6%
39.9%
P3
48.7%
48.6%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 05:38 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |