Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Bjugstad wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 53.8% vs McLeod 47.7% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 51.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 86.1%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 82.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Bjugstad
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Bjugstad
McLeod
Last 10: Bjugstad 8-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bjugstad
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
7
1
Bjugstad
McLeod
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (245)
47.8% (448)
+8.1%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
48.1% (52)
-48.1%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
36.0% (25)
+21.1%
On power play, McLeod has a +48.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Bjugstad is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Bjugstad shoots right. McLeod is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
McLeod
Home
53.2% (111)
46.6% (253)
Away
56.9% (144)
47.8% (272)
By Period
Bjugstad
McLeod
P1
44.6%
43.9%
P2
61.4%
45.9%
P3
61.3%
52.1%
Final 5 min
50.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:12 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 09:40 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:01 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |