Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.1% vs McLeod 47.8% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 58.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 56.2%
Neutral zone
McLeod 54.0%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Bjugstad
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Bjugstad
McLeod
Last 10: Bjugstad 4-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Bjugstad
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Bjugstad
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
2
Bjugstad
McLeod
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (280)
49.2% (796)
-0.3%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
44.8% (87)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
43.3% (263)
+3.9%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Bjugstad shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
McLeod
Home
48.4% (190)
49.2% (575)
Away
49.2% (132)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Bjugstad
McLeod
P1
41.7%
52.8%
P2
56.6%
45.1%
P3
48.7%
45.6%
OT
33.3%
35.7%
Final 5 min
51.2%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 05:40 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 18:15 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:49 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |