Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 47.9% vs McLeod 52.1% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 71.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 59.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 53.7%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Bjugstad
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Bjugstad
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Bjugstad
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (398)
52.9% (904)
-6.2%
Power Play
51.6% (31)
57.6% (59)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
49.0% (241)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Bjugstad shoots right. McLeod is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
McLeod
Home
47.3% (220)
51.8% (612)
Away
47.5% (217)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Bjugstad
McLeod
P1
46.1%
55.4%
P2
46.3%
50.8%
P3
50.4%
51.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:09 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |