Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.0% vs Poehling 46.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 52.3%
Defensive zone
Poehling 53.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Bjugstad
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Bjugstad
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Bjugstad
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (867)
46.5% (269)
+2.9%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
66.7% (3)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (216)
42.4% (139)
-1.7%
On power play, Poehling has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Bjugstad shoots right. Poehling is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Poehling
Home
46.5% (480)
45.2% (177)
Away
48.9% (628)
45.3% (234)
By Period
Bjugstad
Poehling
P1
48.7%
47.7%
P2
45.6%
44.4%
P3
49.1%
44.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.0%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:01 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |