Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 48.1%). Look for Poehling on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.9% vs Poehling 48.1% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 69.3%
Defensive zone
Poehling 58.0%
Neutral zone
Poehling 53.0%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Bjugstad
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Bjugstad
Poehling
Last 10: Bjugstad 5-5 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
3
Bjugstad
Poehling
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
0
Bjugstad
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Bjugstad
Poehling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,634)
49.4% (2,726)
-0.8%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
51.6% (93)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
41.6% (623)
+2.7%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Bjugstad shoots right. Poehling is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,141).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Poehling
Home
49.8% (4,020)
49.3% (1,688)
Away
48.1% (4,057)
46.9% (1,754)
By Period
Bjugstad
Poehling
P1
49.0%
50.9%
P2
49.1%
47.0%
P3
48.4%
46.9%
OT
61.3%
37.9%
Final 5 min
47.3%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:58 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:01 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |