Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.1% vs Poehling 47.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 60.4%
Defensive zone
Poehling 68.3%
Neutral zone
Poehling 56.6%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Bjugstad
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Bjugstad
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (280)
49.8% (626)
-0.9%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
58.3% (12)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
38.2% (207)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Bjugstad shoots right. Poehling is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Poehling
Home
48.4% (190)
47.3% (404)
Away
49.2% (132)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Bjugstad
Poehling
P1
41.7%
53.5%
P2
56.6%
39.4%
P3
48.7%
49.1%
OT
33.3%
35.7%
Final 5 min
51.2%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |