Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 47.0%). Look for Bennett on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.0% vs Bennett 47.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 77.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 69.6%
Neutral zone
Bennett 57.1%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Bjugstad
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Bjugstad
Bennett
Last 10: Bjugstad 3-7 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bjugstad
Bennett
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bjugstad
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
7
Bjugstad
Bennett
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (867)
48.2% (766)
+1.2%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
45.1% (82)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (216)
33.9% (56)
+6.8%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Bjugstad shoots right. Bennett is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Bennett
Home
46.5% (480)
49.1% (458)
Away
48.9% (628)
44.8% (446)
By Period
Bjugstad
Bennett
P1
48.7%
47.9%
P2
45.6%
47.2%
P3
49.1%
46.4%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Bennett
50.0%▲
43.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 10:37 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 05:16 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:09 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 08:24 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |