Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.3% vs Bennett 45.9% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 61.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 81.6%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 69.5%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Bjugstad
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Bjugstad
Bennett
Last 10: Bjugstad 6-4 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
2
Bjugstad
Bennett
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
0
Bjugstad
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Bjugstad
Bennett
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (906)
44.7% (772)
+6.0%
Power Play
48.1% (108)
56.9% (58)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (239)
42.9% (28)
+1.5%
On power play, Bennett has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Bjugstad shoots right. Bennett is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Bennett
Home
49.8% (643)
48.5% (447)
Away
48.7% (610)
42.1% (411)
By Period
Bjugstad
Bennett
P1
49.4%
47.1%
P2
50.5%
45.8%
P3
47.9%
42.9%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.2%
Bennett
50.0%▲
43.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:25 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 08:44 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |