Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.9% vs Bennett 47.7% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 75.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 68.2%
Neutral zone
Bennett 51.4%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Bjugstad
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Bjugstad
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Bjugstad
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (212)
46.3% (630)
+4.6%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
52.5% (118)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (34)
48.6% (37)
-4.5%
On power play, Bennett has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Bjugstad shoots right. Bennett is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (258).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Bennett
Home
52.3% (151)
48.4% (432)
Away
46.0% (100)
46.2% (353)
By Period
Bjugstad
Bennett
P1
44.9%
46.1%
P2
56.8%
45.1%
P3
48.3%
50.8%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.4%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.8%
Bennett
50.0%▲
43.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 03:34 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |