Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.2%). Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.1% vs Bennett 48.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 78.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 66.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 54.6%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Bjugstad
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Bjugstad
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Bjugstad
Bennett
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (280)
46.4% (780)
+2.5%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
57.3% (150)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
47.8% (46)
-0.6%
On power play, Bennett has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Bjugstad shoots right. Bennett is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Bennett
Home
48.4% (190)
50.3% (519)
Away
49.2% (132)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Bjugstad
Bennett
P1
41.7%
47.5%
P2
56.6%
46.6%
P3
48.7%
49.8%
OT
33.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 03:34 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |