Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 48.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.0% vs Steel 48.8% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 71.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 76.5%
Neutral zone
Steel 51.0%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Bjugstad
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Bjugstad
Steel
Last 10: Bjugstad 6-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bjugstad
Steel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Bjugstad
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Bjugstad
Steel
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (867)
49.5% (553)
-0.1%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
61.3% (31)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (216)
30.6% (49)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Bjugstad shoots right. Steel is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Steel
Home
46.5% (480)
46.4% (347)
Away
48.9% (628)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Bjugstad
Steel
P1
48.7%
52.1%
P2
45.6%
49.8%
P3
49.1%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 09:49 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 09:35 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 09:54 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 17:23 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 12:52 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 11:32 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 08:08 | Neutral | Sam Steel |