Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.3% vs Steel 46.6% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 59.1%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 54.6%
Neutral zone
Steel 51.1%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Bjugstad
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Bjugstad
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bjugstad
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Bjugstad
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (906)
44.6% (177)
+6.1%
Power Play
48.1% (108)
66.7% (3)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (239)
44.8% (29)
-0.4%
On power play, Steel has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Bjugstad shoots right. Steel is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Steel
Home
49.8% (643)
46.7% (90)
Away
48.7% (610)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Bjugstad
Steel
P1
49.4%
47.8%
P2
50.5%
47.0%
P3
47.9%
41.3%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Sam Steel |