Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.1% vs Nosek 46.9% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 50.1%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 64.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 55.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Bjugstad
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bjugstad
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (280)
48.5% (66)
+0.4%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
29.6% (27)
+17.6%
On power play, Nosek has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Bjugstad shoots right. Nosek is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Nosek
Home
48.4% (190)
44.0% (25)
Away
49.2% (132)
43.5% (69)
By Period
Bjugstad
Nosek
P1
41.7%
46.4%
P2
56.6%
34.2%
P3
48.7%
53.6%
Final 5 min
51.2%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |