Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.3% vs Nosek 51.4% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 52.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 68.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 50.8%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Bjugstad
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Bjugstad
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Bjugstad
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (906)
54.4% (215)
-3.7%
Power Play
48.1% (108)
0.0% (1)
+48.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (239)
23.5% (17)
+20.9%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +48.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Bjugstad shoots right. Nosek is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Nosek
Home
49.8% (643)
50.4% (127)
Away
48.7% (610)
53.8% (106)
By Period
Bjugstad
Nosek
P1
49.4%
51.4%
P2
50.5%
51.3%
P3
47.9%
53.2%
Final 5 min
48.2%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |