Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 47.9% vs Nosek 51.4% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 52.1%
Defensive zone
Nosek 65.8%
Neutral zone
Nosek 58.1%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Bjugstad
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Bjugstad
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Bjugstad
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (398)
53.0% (400)
-6.3%
Power Play
51.6% (31)
33.3% (12)
+18.3%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
45.5% (44)
+17.0%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Bjugstad shoots right. Nosek is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Nosek
Home
47.3% (220)
49.6% (244)
Away
47.5% (217)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Bjugstad
Nosek
P1
46.1%
53.1%
P2
46.3%
51.4%
P3
50.4%
51.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |