Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.0% vs Nosek 58.0% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 70.3%
Defensive zone
Nosek 54.2%
Neutral zone
Nosek 50.1%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Bjugstad
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Bjugstad
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Bjugstad
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bjugstad
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (867)
59.7% (469)
-10.3%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
100.0% (4)
-44.0%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (216)
56.5% (124)
-15.8%
On power play, Nosek has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Bjugstad shoots right. Nosek is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Nosek
Home
46.5% (480)
59.0% (295)
Away
48.9% (628)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Bjugstad
Nosek
P1
48.7%
56.3%
P2
45.6%
61.9%
P3
49.1%
59.2%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 17:02 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:12 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |