Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 47.3% vs Nosek 51.3% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nosek 65.8%
Defensive zone
Nosek 56.9%
Neutral zone
Nosek 58.1%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Bjugstad
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Bjugstad
Nosek
Last 10: Bjugstad 5-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
3
Bjugstad
Nosek
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
1
Bjugstad
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
1
Bjugstad
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (238)
52.7% (355)
-6.9%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
28.6% (7)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.0% (25)
+6.0%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Bjugstad shoots right. Nosek is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Nosek
Home
48.9% (133)
52.8% (214)
Away
43.8% (137)
50.3% (173)
By Period
Bjugstad
Nosek
P1
50.0%
54.2%
P2
40.6%
53.1%
P3
49.4%
46.4%
Final 5 min
45.5%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
46.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 03:31 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 3 | 08:34 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 01:56 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 02:03 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |