Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.3% vs Johnston 50.1% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 50.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 53.8%
Neutral zone
Johnston 50.5%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Bjugstad
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Bjugstad
Johnston
Last 7: Bjugstad 3-4 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bjugstad
Johnston
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
3
Bjugstad
Johnston
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (906)
50.7% (552)
+0.0%
Power Play
48.1% (108)
61.5% (13)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (239)
43.5% (69)
+0.9%
On power play, Johnston has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Bjugstad is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Bjugstad shoots right. Johnston is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Johnston
Home
49.8% (643)
50.3% (342)
Away
48.7% (610)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Bjugstad
Johnston
P1
49.4%
54.4%
P2
50.5%
47.2%
P3
47.9%
49.4%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:38 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:33 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |