Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.0% vs Gourde 49.7% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 50.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 79.1%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 61.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Bjugstad
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Bjugstad
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
3
Bjugstad
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (867)
49.1% (847)
+0.3%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
79.5% (44)
-23.5%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (216)
39.5% (81)
+1.2%
On power play, Gourde has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Bjugstad shoots right. Gourde is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Gourde
Home
46.5% (480)
50.1% (491)
Away
48.9% (628)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Bjugstad
Gourde
P1
48.7%
54.7%
P2
45.6%
45.0%
P3
49.1%
49.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 02:53 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |