Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.3% vs Gourde 48.0% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 56.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 56.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 50.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Bjugstad
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Bjugstad
Gourde
Last 8: Bjugstad 4-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Bjugstad
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
0
Bjugstad
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Bjugstad
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (906)
48.0% (914)
+2.7%
Power Play
48.1% (108)
54.2% (48)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (239)
43.9% (123)
+0.5%
On power play, Gourde has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Bjugstad shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Gourde
Home
49.8% (643)
50.2% (512)
Away
48.7% (610)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Bjugstad
Gourde
P1
49.4%
50.0%
P2
50.5%
45.3%
P3
47.9%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 04:57 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 11:09 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |