Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.6%). Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.3% vs Bonino 52.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 70.4%
Defensive zone
Bonino 67.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 51.1%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Larkin
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Larkin
Bonino
Last 6: Larkin 2-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
3
Larkin
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (973)
52.0% (717)
-1.0%
Power Play
59.5% (252)
62.7% (67)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (137)
50.7% (144)
-1.1%
On power play, Bonino has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Larkin is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Larkin shoots left. Bonino is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bonino
Home
54.9% (721)
54.8% (429)
Away
49.6% (641)
50.7% (499)
By Period
Larkin
Bonino
P1
52.4%
53.5%
P2
50.8%
49.5%
P3
54.4%
54.8%
OT
43.8%
45.5%
Final 5 min
57.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2019 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 13:46 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |