Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Bonino 48.5% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 88.5%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 56.5%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 73.6%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Pavelski
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Pavelski
Bonino
Last 6: Pavelski 4-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
48.1% (324)
+4.2%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
57.9% (38)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
44.3% (88)
+18.2%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Pavelski shoots right. Bonino is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Bonino
Home
54.2% (360)
52.0% (244)
Away
52.6% (329)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Pavelski
Bonino
P1
54.5%
48.0%
P2
56.7%
42.9%
P3
50.8%
53.9%
OT
30.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 00:29 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 1 | 16:23 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |