Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 66.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 53.4%
Neutral zone
Bonino 52.1%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Bonino
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Bonino
Carpenter
Last 10: Bonino 7-3 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
5
3
Bonino
Carpenter
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
3
4
Bonino
Carpenter
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
1
Bonino
Carpenter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
49.6% (2,027)
+1.0%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
41.5% (41)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
43.9% (467)
+0.7%
On power play, Bonino has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Bonino shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Bonino
Carpenter
Home
51.2% (5,507)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Bonino
Carpenter
P1
50.6%
49.6%
P2
48.5%
47.7%
P3
51.1%
48.0%
OT
45.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 19:02 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 17:17 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 16:18 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |