Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.8% vs Carpenter 48.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 54.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 51.6%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 50.5%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Bonino
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Bonino
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Carpenter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Bonino
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (305)
48.8% (404)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (101)
43.6% (101)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Bonino is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Bonino shoots left. Carpenter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Bonino
Carpenter
Home
53.1% (177)
48.9% (274)
Away
49.3% (229)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Bonino
Carpenter
P1
55.9%
51.9%
P2
49.6%
49.4%
P3
47.6%
41.8%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |