Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.5% vs Carpenter 52.2% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 69.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 52.7%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 55.3%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Bonino
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bonino
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (324)
53.1% (113)
-5.0%
Power Play
57.9% (38)
100.0% (1)
-42.1%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
60.0% (10)
-15.7%
On power play, Carpenter has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Bonino is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Bonino shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Bonino
Carpenter
Home
52.0% (244)
58.5% (65)
Away
43.7% (206)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Bonino
Carpenter
P1
48.0%
65.8%
P2
42.9%
50.0%
P3
53.9%
47.9%
Final 5 min
52.4%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |