Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.9% vs O'Reilly 51.4% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 62.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 51.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 59.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Bonino
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Bonino
O'Reilly
Last 10: Bonino 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Bonino
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
0
Bonino
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Bonino
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (837)
51.5% (194)
-1.9%
Power Play
50.7% (223)
52.3% (107)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (134)
51.4% (70)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Bonino shoots left. O'Reilly is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Bonino
O'Reilly
Home
50.7% (564)
50.3% (185)
Away
47.1% (630)
53.2% (186)
By Period
Bonino
O'Reilly
P1
44.9%
51.0%
P2
50.1%
48.9%
P3
50.9%
53.3%
OT
50.0%
68.8%
Final 5 min
47.6%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 18:51 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 15:50 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 15:43 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 00:15 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |