Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Bonino wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.5% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 74.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 66.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 63.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Bonino
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bonino
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (324)
56.1% (690)
-8.0%
Power Play
57.9% (38)
64.6% (96)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
45.9% (109)
-1.6%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Bonino shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Bonino
O'Reilly
Home
52.0% (244)
58.3% (408)
Away
43.7% (206)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Bonino
O'Reilly
P1
48.0%
57.7%
P2
42.9%
54.8%
P3
53.9%
55.2%
OT
66.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
52.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:14 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |