Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.2% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 68.0%
Defensive zone
Bonino 73.8%
Neutral zone
Bonino 69.3%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Bonino
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Bonino
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Bonino
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (777)
56.6% (1,064)
-4.9%
Power Play
60.0% (50)
60.4% (260)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (98)
54.0% (261)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Bonino shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Bonino
O'Reilly
Home
48.2% (461)
54.9% (801)
Away
54.5% (464)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Bonino
O'Reilly
P1
54.1%
58.0%
P2
49.7%
56.7%
P3
50.7%
55.4%
OT
40.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 14:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 09:38 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |