Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.1% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 83.2%
Defensive zone
Bonino 78.4%
Neutral zone
Bonino 79.1%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Bonino
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Bonino
O'Reilly
Last 9: Bonino 2-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Bonino
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
Bonino
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (917)
57.9% (1,179)
-9.2%
Power Play
53.2% (94)
63.0% (292)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (202)
53.8% (320)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (781).
Bonino shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,095).
Home / Away
Bonino
O'Reilly
Home
51.0% (629)
61.3% (884)
Away
44.7% (584)
54.8% (907)
By Period
Bonino
O'Reilly
P1
49.0%
55.5%
P2
45.4%
61.0%
P3
50.2%
56.8%
OT
23.1%
67.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 03:06 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |