Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.4% vs Hertl 54.9% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 70.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 72.6%
Neutral zone
Bonino 69.4%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Bonino
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Bonino
Hertl
Last 7: Bonino 2-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Bonino
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Bonino
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (691)
55.0% (382)
-4.8%
Power Play
61.5% (78)
59.7% (67)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (149)
75.0% (8)
-29.4%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Bonino is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Bonino shoots left. Hertl is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Bonino
Hertl
Home
52.7% (467)
58.8% (221)
Away
48.1% (451)
53.4% (236)
By Period
Bonino
Hertl
P1
48.9%
52.6%
P2
50.2%
53.6%
P3
51.7%
62.4%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |