Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.2% vs Hertl 52.3% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 62.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 65.4%
Neutral zone
Bonino 51.4%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Bonino
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (777)
51.6% (1,084)
+0.1%
Power Play
60.0% (50)
61.0% (246)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (98)
44.1% (136)
-0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Bonino shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Bonino
Hertl
Home
48.2% (461)
55.2% (696)
Away
54.5% (464)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Bonino
Hertl
P1
54.1%
55.4%
P2
49.7%
54.8%
P3
50.7%
48.9%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%