Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Bonino wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.5% vs Hertl 54.5% (-6.6%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 75.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 71.6%
Neutral zone
Bonino 51.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Bonino
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (324)
54.1% (1,117)
-6.0%
Power Play
57.9% (38)
59.8% (296)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
34.4% (32)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Bonino shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Bonino
Hertl
Home
52.0% (244)
54.3% (709)
Away
43.7% (206)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Bonino
Hertl
P1
48.0%
51.6%
P2
42.9%
53.6%
P3
53.9%
58.6%
OT
66.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
52.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%