Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 47.6% vs Johnson 48.8% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 57.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 68.2%
Neutral zone
Bonino 54.6%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Bonino
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Bonino
Johnson
Last 5: Bonino 1-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Bonino
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bonino
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Bonino
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (926)
49.5% (828)
-1.3%
Power Play
48.6% (109)
54.9% (142)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (210)
36.8% (133)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Bonino is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Bonino shoots left. Johnson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (728).
Home / Away
Bonino
Johnson
Home
47.8% (653)
50.7% (564)
Away
47.0% (592)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Bonino
Johnson
P1
45.9%
51.2%
P2
47.0%
47.5%
P3
49.4%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.5%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |