Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.7%). Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Johnson 49.7% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 23-12 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 60.0%
Defensive zone
Bonino 71.6%
Neutral zone
Bonino 54.8%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Bonino
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
12
(35 meetings)
23
12
Bonino
Johnson
Last 10: Bonino 9-1 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
5
3
Bonino
Johnson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
12
4
Bonino
Johnson
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
6
5
Bonino
Johnson
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
49.8% (5,396)
+0.8%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
54.6% (885)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
42.3% (707)
+2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Bonino shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Bonino
Johnson
Home
51.2% (5,507)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Bonino
Johnson
P1
50.6%
50.1%
P2
48.5%
50.6%
P3
51.1%
48.4%
OT
45.7%
42.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:17 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 05:44 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 13:14 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 07:15 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 1, 2018 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 17:51 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 16:37 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 02:38 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 19:14 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 15:19 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 13:51 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 11:08 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 3 | 10:46 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |