Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.5% vs Johnson 50.7% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 75.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 79.6%
Neutral zone
Johnson 52.7%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Bonino
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bonino
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (324)
47.4% (78)
+0.7%
Power Play
57.9% (38)
57.6% (33)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
100.0% (2)
-55.7%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +55.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Bonino is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Bonino shoots left. Johnson is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Bonino
Johnson
Home
52.0% (244)
50.9% (57)
Away
43.7% (206)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Bonino
Johnson
P1
48.0%
44.1%
P2
42.9%
59.4%
P3
53.9%
52.3%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:17 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |