Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Bonino wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.2% vs Johnson 53.6% (-9.4%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 64.8%
Defensive zone
Bonino 76.9%
Neutral zone
Bonino 55.6%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Bonino
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (777)
61.9% (42)
-10.2%
Power Play
60.0% (50)
55.6% (9)
+4.4%
On even strength, Johnson has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Bonino is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Bonino shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Bonino
Johnson
Home
48.2% (461)
52.0% (25)
Away
54.5% (464)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Bonino
Johnson
P1
54.1%
72.0%
P2
49.7%
66.7%
P3
50.7%
27.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%