Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bonino wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.5% vs Gourde 49.7% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 59.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 70.9%
Neutral zone
Bonino 62.9%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Bonino
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Bonino
Gourde
Last 6: Bonino 1-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bonino
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Bonino
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
3
Bonino
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (324)
49.1% (847)
-1.0%
Power Play
57.9% (38)
79.5% (44)
-21.6%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
39.5% (81)
+4.8%
On power play, Gourde has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Bonino shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Bonino
Gourde
Home
52.0% (244)
50.1% (491)
Away
43.7% (206)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Bonino
Gourde
P1
48.0%
54.7%
P2
42.9%
45.0%
P3
53.9%
49.4%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 01:06 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |