Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.8% vs Gourde 48.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 76.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 51.7%
Neutral zone
Gourde 58.9%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 76.3%
23.7%
76.3%
Bonino
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Bonino
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Bonino
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (305)
48.0% (914)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (101)
43.9% (123)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Bonino is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Bonino shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Bonino
Gourde
Home
53.1% (177)
50.2% (512)
Away
49.3% (229)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Bonino
Gourde
P1
55.9%
50.0%
P2
49.6%
45.3%
P3
47.6%
48.6%
OT
100.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |