Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Gourde 48.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 57.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 57.7%
Neutral zone
Gourde 51.4%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Bonino
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Bonino
Gourde
Last 10: Bonino 3-7 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
3
Bonino
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
1
Bonino
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
3
Bonino
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
48.4% (4,954)
+2.2%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
57.4% (376)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
39.9% (554)
+4.7%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Bonino shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Bonino
Gourde
Home
51.2% (5,507)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Bonino
Gourde
P1
50.6%
49.9%
P2
48.5%
47.4%
P3
51.1%
47.5%
OT
45.7%
37.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 01:06 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:15 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 15:51 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |