Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Cousins wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cousins 49.0% vs Paul 50.4% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cousins 67.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 79.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 65.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Cousins
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cousins
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cousins
1
0
Cousins
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cousins
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (38)
53.0% (644)
-5.6%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
37.5% (24)
+8.0%
On power play, Cousins has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Cousins is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Cousins shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Cousins
Paul
Home
50.0% (20)
52.5% (516)
Away
44.8% (29)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Cousins
Paul
P1
50.0%
47.6%
P2
52.6%
48.4%
P3
33.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
66.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 07:33 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |