Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cousins wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cousins 45.2% vs Paul 52.2% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cousins 66.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 58.8%
Neutral zone
Cousins 55.5%
Result
Nick Cousins favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Cousins
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Cousins
Paul
Last 7: Cousins 3-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cousins
1
0
Cousins
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
3
Cousins
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cousins
2
1
Cousins
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cousins
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (1,508)
52.5% (3,796)
-7.6%
Power Play
44.6% (101)
56.5% (480)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
46.7% (574)
-3.8%
On power play, Paul has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Cousins is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Cousins shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,067).
Home / Away
Cousins
Paul
Home
46.7% (809)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
43.0% (807)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Cousins
Paul
P1
47.5%
53.9%
P2
43.6%
51.0%
P3
43.6%
52.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
44.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 11:39 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 07:33 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |