Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cousins 49.6% vs Paul 53.4% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cousins 71.8%
Defensive zone
Cousins 56.6%
Neutral zone
Cousins 58.8%
Result
Nick Cousins favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Cousins
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cousins
Paul
Last 6: Cousins 2-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cousins
1
0
Cousins
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
3
Cousins
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cousins
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cousins
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (140)
53.8% (753)
-4.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
58.9% (90)
-58.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
47.4% (78)
+19.3%
On power play, Paul has a +58.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Cousins is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (93).
Cousins shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Cousins
Paul
Home
51.8% (83)
54.2% (450)
Away
45.9% (61)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Cousins
Paul
P1
52.9%
58.2%
P2
35.6%
50.6%
P3
58.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
44.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 11:39 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Nick Paul |