Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.0% vs Foligno 54.6% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 64.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 92.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 80.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Eller
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Eller
Foligno
Last 8: Eller 1-7 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
7
Eller
Foligno
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (821)
63.3% (120)
-13.4%
Power Play
52.7% (74)
49.5% (95)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (214)
50.0% (20)
-6.1%
On even strength, Foligno has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Eller is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Eller shoots left. Foligno is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Eller
Foligno
Home
49.4% (559)
57.5% (120)
Away
48.5% (550)
55.7% (115)
By Period
Eller
Foligno
P1
50.1%
52.1%
P2
46.7%
61.1%
P3
49.9%
55.6%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.0%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 05:52 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 08:33 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |